James Grant, a famous bear who had been harping about the housing and credit bubble for years, has turned remarkably bullish, in spite of his fears about the long-term implications of shoveling money into the economy. Grant evidences that in each major recession in the past, the economy has rebounded very quickly, and the harder we fall, the faster we rise.
With the economic meltdown as severe as it was in 2007-2009, it is clear that the next bull market will be much steeper than many predict, and it's great to have a permabear trade in his claws for some horns and hooves.
While Grant has become bullish, many economists and institutional managers alike remain bearish. This in itself is a bullish sign, and I am in the camp that we have entered a secular bull market, that many will only conclude is such a market when we make new highs on the S&P and Dow, which may still be years away. While we may have corrections (even at the current levels), my personal opinion (to be taken with a grain of salt) is that any correction will be fast and furious, to flush out the weakest of hands and the gambling speculators.
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